Change:

Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.

Choose a different matchup:  
  vs.

YORK CITY vs. HEREFORD
(neutral venue - no home advantage applied to match-up calculations)

 
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on historical matches with the same ELO score difference.
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in the last eight games.
 

A listing of all historical matches with identical ELO scores as York City vs. Hereford.

Venue Wins for equivalent team
to York City
(ELO score: 3275)		 Draws Wins for equivalent team
to Hereford
(ELO score: 3083)
TOTAL 1 0 0
Home 1 0 0

Date Comp   Home Team Score   Away Team ELO
12 OCT 2019 CONF Gateshead  
(3275)  		 1 - 0   Gloucester City
  (3083)		 4.2

 

A historical comparison of York City's and Hereford's ELO scores.


  York City   Hereford  
  Current ELO Score: 3275   3083.4  
  Best ELO Score: 3766.5  
Saturday, March 22, 1975  		 3777.9  
Saturday, September 4, 1976  
  Worst ELO Score: 3068.7  
Tuesday, February 5, 2019  		 2756.8  
Friday, December 26, 2014  

 

A summary of all historical matches between York City and Hereford.

 Venue Played York City
wins		 Draws Hereford
wins		 York City
goals		 Hereford
goals		 York City
SR%		 Hereford
SR%
 TOTAL 36 11 8 17 47 51 41.7% 58.3%
 HOME 18 9 1 8 33 27 52.8% 47.2%
 AWAY 18 2 7 9 14 24 30.6% 69.4%

Date Comp   Home Team Score   Away Team ELO
5 MAR 2022 CONF Hereford  
(3112)  		 1 - 1   York City
  (3157)		 0.2
28 SEP 2021 CONF York City  
(3143)  		 0 - 1   Hereford
  (3066)		 13.2
3 MAR 2020 CONF York City  
(3221)  		 1 - 4   Hereford
  (3027)		 27.8
3 DEC 2019 CONF Hereford  
(3084)  		 2 - 2   York City
  (3224)		 2.8
5 FEB 2019 CONF York City  
(3080)  		 1 - 2   Hereford
  (3072)		 11.4
1 SEP 2018 CONF Hereford  
(3143)  		 1 - 1   York City
  (3151)		 0.9
29 APR 2006 CONF York City  
(3396)  		 1 - 3   Hereford United
  (3533)		 11.6
10 DEC 2005 CONF Hereford United  
(3496)  		 1 - 0   York City
  (3363)		 5
9 APR 2005 CONF Hereford United  
(3525)  		 2 - 0   York City
  (3317)		 5.3
21 AUG 2004 CONF York City  
(3342)  		 0 - 3   Hereford United
  (3587)		 9
30 OCT 1999 CUP Hereford United  
(3412)  		 1 - 0   York City
  (3518)		 5.5
9 JAN 1993 LGE Hereford United  
(3356)  		 1 - 1   York City
  (3500)		 2
15 SEP 1992 LGE York City  
(3447)  		 4 - 2   Hereford United
  (3363)		 8.6
11 APR 1992 LGE York City  
(3427)  		 1 - 0   Hereford United
  (3423)		 7.7
17 SEP 1991 LGE Hereford United  
(3487)  		 2 - 1   York City
  (3419)		 6.1
12 JAN 1991 LGE York City  
(3457)  		 1 - 0   Hereford United
  (3475)		 8.3
1 SEP 1990 LGE Hereford United  
(3426)  		 2 - 0   York City
  (3458)		 13.1
25 APR 1990 LGE Hereford United  
(3459)  		 1 - 2   York City
  (3469)		 11.9
30 DEC 1989 LGE York City  
(3513)  		 1 - 2   Hereford United
  (3466)		 13.4
6 MAY 1989 LGE Hereford United  
(3458)  		 1 - 2   York City
  (3479)		 11.7
3 DEC 1988 LGE York City  
(3421)  		 4 - 1   Hereford United
  (3421)		 13.5
12 MAY 1984 LGE Hereford United  
(3460)  		 2 - 1   York City
  (3687)		 13.7
17 DEC 1983 LGE York City  
(3575)  		 4 - 0   Hereford United
  (3396)		 6.5
7 MAY 1983 LGE York City  
(3554)  		 5 - 1   Hereford United
  (3375)		 6.5
2 OCT 1982 LGE Hereford United  
(3439)  		 0 - 0   York City
  (3424)		 3
20 MAR 1982 LGE Hereford United  
(3475)  		 2 - 1   York City
  (3366)		 4.7
31 OCT 1981 LGE York City  
(3363)  		 3 - 4   Hereford United
  (3387)		 12.1
24 JAN 1981 LGE York City  
(3433)  		 1 - 2   Hereford United
  (3347)		 14.9
30 AUG 1980 LGE Hereford United  
(3391)  		 1 - 1   York City
  (3475)		 0.5
3 NOV 1979 LGE York City  
(3439)  		 3 - 1   Hereford United
  (3431)		 10.4
18 AUG 1979 LGE Hereford United  
(3451)  		 3 - 1   York City
  (3473)		 11.5
3 FEB 1979 LGE Hereford United  
(3484)  		 1 - 0   York City
  (3439)		 5.9
26 SEP 1978 LGE York City  
(3391)  		 1 - 0   Hereford United
  (3532)		 11
3 JAN 1976 CUP York City  
(3683)  		 2 - 1   Hereford United
  (3676)		 6.9
6 APR 1974 LGE Hereford United  
(3598)  		 0 - 0   York City
  (3731)		 0.9
12 NOV 1973 LGE York City  
(3696)  		 0 - 0   Hereford United
  (3611)		 4.9